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Investors are worried that Evergrande’s unraveling will ensnare the property sector and the commodities that feed it. If history is any guide, this sector still has legs.
From the way metal prices have moved in recent weeks, it looks like the wheels are falling off China’s property market.
The price of iron ore futures in Dalian has dropped by half over the past two months, accelerating Monday after the government announced fresh winter pollution curbs for northern steel-producing cities, which typically cut output and demand for rust. Add to that the travails of China Evergrande Group, the property developer that’s at risk of defaulting on some of its $300 billion of liabilities, and it makes up a bearish picture for ferrous metals.